Category: Australia

  • Australia’s New BNPL Rules Mean Credit Scores Will Never Look the Same

    Australia’s New BNPL Rules Mean Credit Scores Will Never Look the Same

    Buy-now-pay-later has been the feel-good payments story of the past decade: interest-free instalments, a tap-and-go checkout, no bank-manager questions. By mid-2024, Australia had approximately 7 million active BNPL accounts with an average transaction value of A$136. Yet the same scale that made Afterpay and Zip household verbs, has also drawn regulator heat. On 10 June 2025, the heat crystallised into law. From that date, every BNPL operator must:

    • hold an Australian Credit Licence (ACL),
    • run credit and affordability checks, and—most explosively—
    • report all applications, limits, and defaults to the mainstream credit-reporting bureaus.

    The rules sit inside the Treasury Laws Amendment (Responsible Buy Now Pay Later and Other Measures) Act 2024 and ASIC’s new INFO 285. They pivot BNPL from a “tech hack” around the National Credit Code to a fully-fledged consumer credit.

    Why this moment matters

    Until now, BNPL providers could decide whether to ping a bureau or stay off-grid; most chose the latter to preserve the frictionless sign-up that drove growth. On the other hand, consumers often mistakenly believed instalments were invisible to lenders. ASIC’s guidance is blunt: providers that miss the licence deadline “may be engaging in unlicensed conduct if they continue to operate.”

    Hidden within those compliance paragraphs is a structural jolt to personal finance. Every Afterpay sign-up, every Zip limit increase, every missed Klarna instalment, will now flow into the same credit files that decide mortgage rates. Finder’s latest spending survey shows 33% of Australians—about 6.9 million people—regularly spend more than they earn, a pattern propelled by easy instalments. From June, that behaviour could now negatively influence credit scores.

    What changes for providers

    The licensing package is rigorous but familiar to anyone who issues credit cards. BNPL firms must:

    • lodge an ACL application (or variation) by 10 June;
    • prove minimum base capital of A$150,000 (A$250,000 if holding customer funds);
    • integrate bureau data into underwriting, not just KYC;
    • join the Australian Financial Complaints Authority and embed dispute-resolution timelines;
    • hand ASIC an annual compliance report plus an auditor-signed financial statement four months after year-end.

    INFO 285 makes clear that an ACL for “credit provider” automatically covers BNPL, but licences that only authorised “intermediary” activity must be varied. The regulator expects most players to require a variation rather than a new licence, yet even a variation demands board-level governance and capital calculations that some venture-backed start-ups have never undertaken.

    The bureau ripple: stronger profiles—then a hangover

    Credit bureaus like Equifax, Illion, and Experian have lobbied for years to capture BNPL data, arguing it fills “thin” files for younger borrowers. They won that argument on 10 June. Every application became an enquiry entry; every on-time repayment can lift a score; every late fee, if overdue long enough, lands as a default.

    Short-term, bureau files should get richer. A 22-year-old who pays Afterpay religiously might see their credit score rise, making a first-car loan cheaper. But a missed A$100 GoCardless instalment—common when wages hit different weeks—could shave 50 points, enough to bump a mortgage rate. Finder’s personal-finance analysts reckon 38% of Gen Z and Gen Y admit to overspending via BNPL. Their “buy now, regret later” habits will show up in black and white.

    The bureau change also neuters a common BNPL marketing pitch: “won’t affect your credit.” From June, every homepage disclosure must warn that usage will be visible, or risk breaching ASIC’s longstanding truth-in-advertising obligations.

    Knock-on effects for banks and retailers

    Banks stand to gain. Mortgage underwriters finally get a full view of discretionary credit. Commonwealth Bank had already argued that the blind spot distorted affordability tests; CEO Matt Comyn’s 2021 Senate testimony called for bureau reporting across the sector. For lenders, the reform should reduce surprises and lower delinquency risk.

    Retailers face a mixed bag. BNPL drove basket-size growth, but also led to higher refund costs and increased fraud. Licence obligations will raise provider operating costs. Afterpay and Zip have not published revised merchant-discount rates, but executives concede compliance will “tighten margins” (Zip’s commentary in its August 2024 results call). If fees rise, merchants may shift back to cards or bank account-to-account alternatives like PayTo.

    Will the licence deadline stick?

    ASIC knows start-ups move slowly. A transitional window lets firms keep operating if they file an application that ASIC “accepts for lodgement” by 10 June. However, acceptance is the first step; substantive approval can take up to nine months. Lawyers warn that conditions could include capital top-ups, director background checks, and live underwriting audits.

    Industry bodies want more time. The Australian Finance Industry Association urged Treasury to stage obligations—licence first, bureau reporting later—arguing that some technology stacks cannot plug into Illion or Equifax in weeks. Treasury’s explanatory memorandum rejects a long delay, citing “urgent consumer-protection need,” but hints that enforcement will be “proportionate.”

    Still, ASIC’s track record on unlicensed lenders is clear: it has prosecuted payday operators within weeks of a deadline lapsing. Expect the regulator to make an example of any BNPL brand that continues to sign new customers without an accepted licence application.

    International context: from light-touch to level playing field

    Australia is not alone. The UK’s FCA, after four years of consultation, is drafting BNPL rules that echo credit-licence and bureau-reporting requirements. New Zealand’s Credit Contracts Act amendments took effect last year. But Australia’s 10 June line-in-the-sand is arguably the sharpest globally—no proportional carve-out for “low-limit” offers, no indefinite sandbox.

    Why the urgency? Inflation and arrears. RBA data show household repayment stress at a ten-year high; Zip’s BNPL late-fee income grew 24% in FY 2024. The government’s May 2025 budget papers flagged “longevity of inflation expectations” partly tied to “unsecured consumer credit growth via BNPL.” Legislators concluded that letting millions of micro-loans stay off the radar would undermine monetary-policy tightening.

    What consumers should do now

    Financial counsellors are bracing for calls in July when the first bureau alerts hit. The National Debt Helpline advises users to:

    • download their free credit report before 10 June to establish a baseline;
    • set up alerts with bureau apps to catch score swings;
    • align pay cycles with instalment schedules to avoid accidental misses.

    They also warn that reversing BNPL defaults is harder than disputing, say, a mobile-phone bill: platform terms often state that fees compound once an instalment is overdue.

    A turning-point for the business model

    BNPL thrived on a loop: frictionless sign-up drives volume, volume drives merchant-discount revenue, revenue subsidises free instalments. Compliance filings, bureau integrations and responsible-lending checks slow the loop and add cost. Providers may pivot toward longer-tenor, interest-bearing plans or morph into regulated line-of-credit products.

    Zip already reports that credit-loss rates fell from 2.7% to 1.8% after trialing bureau checks on new users, conceding that upfront diligence costs less than downstream collections. Investors rewarded the news with a 9% share-price bump. Afterpay, now owned by Block, has piloted soft credit pulls in Canada since 2024; executives say Australia will “adopt similar underwriting signals.”

    The business model survives, but the word “loan” finally catches up with the marketing slogan “pay later.”

    Final word

    10 June 2025 was not just a compliance deadline; it’s the day BNPL grows up. Providers became licenced credit shops, consumers gain (or lose) bureau points with every tap, and Australia’s credit files gain unprecedented granularity on small-ticket debt.

    For borrowers, the trade-off is transparency: instalments may aid a thin file, but missed payments will bite harder. For providers the calculus shifts from land-grab to sustainable risk pricing. And for regulators, the reform is a test case—if bureau reporting and licensing curb arrears without killing innovation, other markets will likely follow Australia’s blueprint.

    The era of invisible instalments is over; from 10 June the bills came due—in both dollars and credit scores.

  • Australia’s Rate Cut Just Tilted the Board for PayTo

    Australia’s Rate Cut Just Tilted the Board for PayTo

    The Reserve Bank of Australia’s 25-basis-point trim on 20 May 2025 nudged the cash rate down to 3.85 percent, its lowest setting in two years. Headlines focused on mortgage relief, yet the bigger subplot sits inside the plumbing of account-to-account (A2A) payments.

    Cheaper money slashes the opportunity cost of float—the few hours or days during which merchants and billers wait for funds to clear. That is exactly the friction PayTo, the request-to-pay overlay on the New Payments Platform (NPP), was built to erase.

    Why the cash-rate move matters

    • Float math flips – When overnight cash earns less, merchants gain little by hanging on to batch files and delayed settlement. Real-time clearing becomes the cost-neutral default.
    • Lower funding spreads – BNPL providers and invoice-discounters who rely on warehouse lines see their borrowing costs fall, narrowing the price gap with PayTo’s straight-from-bank-account pull.
    • Consumer sentiment – A rate cut usually lifts retail spending; friction-free checkout captures the impulse faster than card rails that still settle on next business day.

    Momentum was already building

    Westpac IQ reported in February that the NPP now carries 35 percent of all Australian A2A transfers, up from barely 10 percent five years ago. The same note argued that business adoption of PayTo is the next “unlock” and could push real-time share into the high thirties by Christmas. Add a cheaper cost of capital, and that 40-percent milestone starts to look conservative.

    AusPayPlus data underlines the trend: 1.63 billion NPP transactions in 2024, a 23-percent jump year on year, with 140 million payments now coursing through the platform each month. Every extra percentage point of A2A migration drains volume from the legacy BECS direct-debit file, which still processes trillions but is slated for retirement in 2030.

    The merchant lens

    Picture a subscription gym. At a 4 percent cash rate, the gym’s bank earns some float income while direct-debit files clear overnight; the gym eats settlement lag as the cost of doing business. At 3.85 percent, and possibly lower later this year, that float premium shrinks. Switching to PayTo means:

    • instant confirmation that a mandate exists
    • real-time funds availability checks
    • no chargeback risk once the payer approves the agreement in their banking app

    With Westpac already piloting dynamic virtual cards that ride PayTo rails for corporate spend, CFOs can see the operational upside: no plastic, file uploads, or reconciliation pain.

    Friction beats fees

    PayTo’s wholesale scheme fee hovers around 4 cents per transaction, projected to dip further as volumes rise. Card interchange on the other hand averages 50–80 basis points for domestic debit. When the funding benefit of float evaporates, merchants care more about per-transaction cost and chargeback risk than about one-day access to cash. PayTo wins on both counts.

    The road to a tipping point

    1. Banks hurry to switch on outbound PayTo – Some still support only inbound agreements. Competitive pressure will sharpen once rivals start marketing PayTo instalments at the checkout.
    2. Platforms bake it in – Accounting and billing SaaS can embed PayTo APIs, offering small businesses instant settlement at card-beating economics.
    3. Regulators nudge – The RBA wants the 1970s-era BECS file gone by 2030. Each rate-cut cycle strengthens the argument that now is the cheapest migration time.

    Watch these metrics

    • Mandate growth – AP+ will release fresh PayTo agreement numbers in July. Anything above one million live mandates will confirm acceleration.
    • Cost pass-through – Large utilities and telcos may start sharing their PayTo fee savings with customers as bill-payment discounts, turbo-charging awareness.
    • Deferred debit cannibalisation – If PayTo eats into BNPL’s low-value instalments, expect card schemes to lobby for higher transaction caps on their own A2A propositions.

    Bottom line

    The RBA’s rate cut did more than soothe mortgage payers. It quietly removed one of the last economic excuses for sticking with overnight direct-debit files. Add growing consumer familiarity with real-time payments and a looming 2030 BECS shutdown, and PayTo now looks poised for its breakout year—perhaps topping 40 percent of all account transfers well before the next Melbourne Cup. The smart money is already rewriting payment flows before the float advantage disappears for good.